The crypto market ended February on a weak note for XRP. Charts now show clear pressure in XRP vs Bitcoin. Technical signals favor Bitcoin at this stage.
XRP price fell more than 16% in February against the US dollar. The bigger concern appears on the XRP vs Bitcoin chart. The pair closed the month below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands on the monthly timeframe. This middle line represents the 20 month moving average. Traders see this level as a key trend signal.
When price falls below this line, the trend usually turns bearish. The next target becomes the lower Bollinger Bands level. For XRP vs Bitcoin, that lower band stands near 0.000009775 BTC per XRP. This level sits almost 53% below the current ratio near 0.0000207 BTC. This creates a possible 50% downside risk if weakness continues.
The situation looked very different in January 2025. At that time, XRP vs Bitcoin jumped nearly 380% in three months. The ratio reached around 0.00003419 BTC and even crossed the upper Bollinger Bands. That move showed strong buying power. Since then, XRP has fallen about 40% against Bitcoin and now trades inside the lower band range.
Bitcoin price shows better strength. Bitcoin trades between $60,000 and $68,000 after falling from its October 2025 peak of $126,198. Despite the correction, institutional money through ETFs supports Bitcoin. Large investors continue to prefer Bitcoin during uncertain times in the crypto market.
The recovery gap also favors Bitcoin. Bitcoin needs about a 91% rise to reach its previous high. XRP needs around 174% to return to its $3.65 peak. This large gap shows weaker relative strength in XRP vs Bitcoin.
February also brought wider market fear. Global risk sentiment turned negative. Concerns about artificial intelligence and job losses affected investor confidence. The crypto market faced selling pressure as a result.
The current Bollinger Bands setup does not confirm an immediate crash. However, it limits upside hopes. XRP vs Bitcoin needs a strong monthly close above the middle band to turn bullish again. Until that happens, Bitcoin may continue to outperform.
Talk around a possible XRP ETF and whale buying offers some hope. Positive regulatory news could improve XRP price momentum. For now, charts show caution.
XRP vs Bitcoin stands at an important point. The next few months will decide whether XRP regains strength or loses more ground in the crypto market.
Also Read: Bitcoin Holds $66,000, Ethereum Below $2,000