XRP has been under pressure in recent weeks, raising concerns across the crypto market. After failing to hold above the important $2 level, analysts are increasingly warning that the price could slide further, potentially moving toward or even below $1. While short-term signals look weak, longer-term fundamentals continue to attract attention, creating uncertainty about what comes next for the digital asset.
As of the latest available market data, XRP is trading in the range of $1.79 to $1.86. Daily trading volumes remain high, running into several billion dollars, and XRP continues to rank among the top five cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Despite this strong position, the recent drop below $2 has damaged market confidence. That level had acted as a psychological and technical support zone for several weeks. Once it broke, selling pressure increased and volatility picked up sharply.
Several technical analysts have highlighted bearish chart patterns forming on XRP’s price chart. One of the most discussed patterns is a double-top formation that developed near the $2.40–$2.50 area earlier this year. In technical analysis, a double top often signals that buying momentum is weakening. The neckline of this pattern sits close to $2, and once that level was broken, analysts began projecting much lower downside targets.
Based on traditional chart projections, some analysts estimate that XRP could move toward $1 if selling continues and buyers fail to defend current support zones. The area between $1.78 and $1.90 is now considered critical. A clear daily close below this range would strengthen the bearish case and open the door to a deeper correction. As long as the price remains below $2, many traders believe downside risks outweigh upside potential in the short term.
XRP’s weakness is not happening in isolation. The wider crypto market has also seen periods of risk-off behavior, driven by uncertainty around global interest rates, inflation trends, and broader financial market volatility. When Bitcoin and other large-cap cryptocurrencies pull back, altcoins like XRP often experience sharper declines.
Liquidity conditions also play a role. During periods of reduced risk appetite, traders tend to reduce exposure to volatile assets. This has added pressure to XRP, even as some long-term developments remain positive. In such environments, technical signals often dominate short-term price action, increasing the likelihood of sudden drops.
Despite the bearish technical outlook, institutional data presents a more balanced picture. XRP-linked exchange-traded products have reportedly attracted close to $1 billion in inflows over time, reflecting growing institutional interest. These inflows suggest that large investors continue to see long-term value in XRP, even during periods of price weakness.
Institutional participation can help stabilize prices during major sell-offs, although it does not always prevent short-term declines. Large inflows may be spread over time and are not always enough to counter aggressive selling driven by traders reacting to technical breakdowns.
Regulatory clarity has been one of the most important themes for XRP in 2025. Court decisions and regulatory actions have helped clarify parts of XRP’s legal status, reducing a major source of uncertainty that had weighed on the asset for years. This progress has strengthened the long-term investment narrative around XRP.
In addition, Ripple-linked entities have reportedly received conditional approvals connected to national trust bank charters. Such developments could make it easier for banks and institutions to work with XRP-related infrastructure in the future. While these factors are positive for long-term adoption, they have limited influence on short-term price movements dominated by technical trading.
The biggest near-term risk remains technical. If XRP fails to hold above the $1.78 support area, analysts believe a move toward $1 becomes increasingly realistic. Momentum indicators have already turned negative, and once key supports break, selling can accelerate quickly.
Another risk comes from market structure. XRP has large holders whose trading activity can cause sudden price swings. High trading volumes around recent declines suggest that both retail and large traders are active, increasing volatility. Macro uncertainty also remains a constant risk, as changes in global market sentiment can rapidly affect crypto prices.
Supporters of XRP point to history, noting that the asset has recovered strongly from deep corrections in the past. Oversold signals on longer-term charts are starting to appear, which some analysts believe could lead to a rebound if selling pressure slows. If XRP manages to reclaim the $2 level and hold above it, the bearish technical structure would weaken significantly.
Institutional demand, regulatory clarity, and XRP’s role in cross-border payment solutions continue to support the long-term thesis. These factors suggest that while the price may fall further, the asset still has strong foundations compared to many other altcoins.
Warnings that XRP could slip toward $1 are grounded in well-established technical analysis and supported by current market weakness. A breakdown below key support levels would likely confirm this scenario. At the same time, institutional inflows and regulatory progress provide a counterbalance, suggesting that any major decline may not be permanent.
XRP now stands at a crossroads. Short-term price action is driven by fear and technical signals, while long-term prospects remain tied to adoption and regulatory progress. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether the $1 level becomes a reality or remains a worst-case scenario discussed by analysts during a period of heightened volatility.